Antwerp Modal Shift

The Modal Shift (MOSH) Evaluation Project aids the Antwerp Region's transition from car dependency to more sustainable and active transport modes, such as public transit and cycling. This transition is optimized by systematically evaluating future mobility interventions to ensure the most efficient and impactful outcomes.

Central to this process is an innovative and bespoke predictive model designed to assess the potential impact of these interventions by using traffic modeling data. By dissecting the region's mobility patterns, the model predicts changes triggered by each intervention and calculates their potential to generate modal shift in the region.

Each initiative is evaluated by weighing its potential benefits against investment costs and implementation-related risks. This approach enabled the strategic prioritization of initiatives, identifying those that should be fast-tracked for early implementation.

For the most impactful interventions, quick urban design exercises were done to test their feasibility, compare variants and to estimate implementation risks.

Our analysis covered over 100 diverse initiatives, ranging from new tramline extensions, new cycling infrastructure, new multimodal hubs to speed or frequency increase in existing public transport lines. The result is a detailed investment catalog that outlines the impact of these initiatives and facilitates comparative evaluations based on a range of criteria. This catalog has become a crucial tool for policy dialogue, enabling stakeholders to make informed decisions on prioritizing initiatives based on clear, quantifiable data.